Tottenham v PSV
Total Goals Betting Tip
The two teams who find themselves tied for last place in Group B will look to give themselves a chance to progress to the Knockout Stage with a win on Tuesday night at Wembley Stadium.
Despite a strong Premier League campaign, Mauricio Pochettino’s side have produced just a single point in three matches, leaving them on the brink of elimination.
Our Tottenham v PSV betting tip is Spurs Over 2.5 total goals as the home side will be looking for an emphatic win to get them back into the picture in Group B on Tuesday night.
Spurs enter the match having lost just one of their last six matches and winners of two straight. Their strong start to the Premier League season continued on Saturday night when they defeated Wolves 3-2 away, overcoming two penalties from the home team to grab three points.
The win leaves them in fourth-place in the domestic table, just five points off from Manchester City, who beat them 1-0 in a close encounter just two weeks ago.
Last week, the Spurs also advanced in the Carabao Cup with a strong 3-1 victory at West Ham that saw Son Heung-min score two goals in a game where captain Harry Kane was left on the bench.
Their domestic success has not translated into the Champions League, as their 2-2 draw at PSV last time out was their first point in three European matches. The result made even worse considering the first goal conceded was the result of a Toby Alderweireld mistake, while keeper Hugo Lloris’ blunder late in the match left Spurs with 10 men. Just five minutes later, the hosts equalised and Tottenham’s hope for the next round took a massive blow.
They will be happy to return to their adopted home of Wembley, as they have won four of their last six Champions League matches at home. They did fall 4-2 to Barcelona in their lone home match this campaign, but won all three of their Group Stage fixtures last season, beating Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.
Each of those six ties saw more than 2.5 total goals, while both teams scored in all but one of the contests.
The reigning Dutch champions have been flawless in the Eredivisie this year, picking up 11 wins from their opening 11 matches. With a remarkable goal differential of +35 during that span, they are both scoring and defending impeccably in domestic play.
They did suffer one setback domestically this season, as they were shockingly knocked out of the KNVB Cup by second-tier squad RKC Waalwijk last Tuesday after a 3-2 loss in extra-time.
They rebounded with a straightforward 1-0 win over Vitesse on Saturday, with Luuk de Jong once again the hero with the winning goal in the second-half after the visitors were dropped to 10 men.
Much like their hosts on Tuesday, they have not found much success in Champions League this season. An opening 4-0 loss at Camp Nou to Barcelona was followed by a 2-1 away defeat at Inter in which they conceded two goals in the second-half after gaining an early 1-0 lead.
They were fortunate enough to salvage a point at home against Spurs last time out, as they were thoroughly outplayed over the course of the match. To their credit, they took advantage of two mistakes in order to keep their slim hopes of progression alive.
Prior the draw two weeks ago, the teams had faced-off only in a UEFA League tie in the 2007-08 season. Each team won the away match 1-0 in that series, with the Dutch outfit advancing on a 6-5 penalty win.
Pochettino won’t want to change too much from his squad that controlled the match well last time out, but injuries will force him to shuffle his lineup for Tuesday.
Spurs should remain in their 4-2-3-1 formation, with Kane, Son, Christian Eriksen and Lucas Moura in the attacking four positions. The unit made some exceptional passes that saw them find space behind PSV’s defence and will look to maintain that same rapid-fire style once again.
The defensive-midfield is where things get tricky for the Argentine skipper. Both Mousa Dembele and Eric Dier, who made up the pairing last time out, are unavailable for this contest. Luckily, he has suitable replacements in English international Harry Winks and Moussa Sissoko, who will once again look to stymie the PSV attack.
The same back-line should be out again, with Alderweireld hoping to put a poor performance behind him. He set up PSV’s first goal after his poor decision to pass to Lloris landed right on the feet of Hirving Lozano. He hustled to get back to block Lozano’s shot, only to see it deflect over the keeper and into his goal.
Mark Van Bommel will not have much to change in terms of his lineup, however he may want to shift his tactical approach ahead of the reverse.
Despite ending up with a point, his side was outplayed for a majority of the match and fortunate enough to be on the receiving end of some costly mistakes from their visitors.
PSV should come out in a 4-2-3-1 formation as well, which is headed by de Jong as the loan striker. Lozano and Gaston Pereiro will be his offensive support once again, however left-winger Steven Bergwijn should get the start after sitting out the last meeting due to injury.
The recessed midfield duo of Pablo Rosario and Jorrit Hendrix will have to do better if the Dutch side want to get anything out of Tuesday night. The last match saw them look lost while trying to defend against Son and Moura, allowing too many passes into space that kept them on their back foot.
The defensive unit, which has been solid but unspectacular, should remain the same. Daniel Schwaab and Netherlands national team member Nick Viergever lead from the middle and will want to keep Kane off the score sheet this time out.
With Lloris suspended due to the red card he received, Paulo Gazzaniga will receive his fifth start in goal this season.
Spurs’ injury list continues to grow as Danny Rose, Eric Dier, Mousa Dembele, Vincent Janssen, Jan Vertonghen and Victor Wanyama all remain out for the hosts.
Dele Alli returned last week after a long injury absence and could see a role off the bench, as Pochettino may not want to disrupt an offensive group that did so well last time out.
Van Bommel has no fresh injury concerns for this contest. Bergwijn’s addition to the lineup in place of Donyell Malen should be the only change that he makes, as PSV’s starting XI has remained consistent this season.
The last match between the two proved the Spurs are simply the more talented side. Their ability to possess and move the ball were far too much for PSV to deal with, allowing them to gain the attacking position too easily across until Lloris’ sending-off.
PSV did well to take advantage of the opportunities given to them, but Pochettino should be expecting a far more disciplined performance from his club at home on Tuesday.
The hosts scored three goals in all three of their home group stage wins last season against strong opponents, so we don’t see much trouble in them picking up a 3-0 win to try and turn their Champions League campaign around this time out.
Published on: 6 Nov 2018 at 11:00
See how the match unfolds below with our Match Day Updates showing the starting 11 teams, goals, cards and subs.