Handicap Betting Tip
Paris Saint-Germain are hoping to make it nine wins in nine matches when they host 5th-place Lyon in what should be one of the most exciting matches of the early Ligue 1 season.
Lyon were just one of three teams to defeat PSG last season and will look to move into second in the table by shocking the league leaders once agains.
PSG have been nearly perfect across all ten competitive matches this season, with a last-minute 3-2 loss at Liverpool in the Champions League the sole blemish on their record. They have yet to be troubled in the French league, as they have outscored their opponents 27-6 overall and have yet to win a match by less than two goals. A 2-0 defeat to Rennes in their last home match of the season, in which rested nearly all their starters, was their only home loss in 40 matches at Parc de Princes. That match aside, PSG has scored at least two goals in the past 18 home fixtures while keeping clean sheets in 11 of those contests. Their last two matches saw them defeat Nice 3-0 away, before a Neymar hat-trick helped them thrash Serbian champions Red Star Belgrade 6-1 at home in Champions League on Wednesday.
Lyon come into the match riding their own six match unbeaten streak in both Ligue 1 and Champions League. Their last three domestic matches have seen them defeat Marseille 4-2 at home, beat Dijon 3-0 away and settle for a 1-1 home draw with Nantes. On Tuesday night they fought to a hard 2-2 draw with Ukrainian champions Shakhtar Donetsk in Lyon. Their recent away form in Ligue 1 has been solid, as they have posted a 4W 3D 2L record over their past nine fixtures. All but two of those games have seen the total goals go over the 2.5 mark, while both teams scored on six occasion.
Last season’s fixture at Parc de Princes saw Lyon fight hard, but score two own goals in the last 15 minutes of play to lose a bizarre 2-0 match. The reverse in Lyon ended in drama, as Memphis Depay found a goal in the 2nd-minute of added-time to lift Lyon to a 2-1 defeat over a PSG squad that played with 10 men for the last 40 minutes.
Manager Thomas Tuchel should play the usual 4-2-3-1 formation that features Angel di Maria, Kylian Mbappe and Neymar forward with Edinson Cavani in the striker role. Marco Verratti and Marquinhos should get the call in the defensive midfield, where they will be tasked with keeping tabs on Nabil Fekir and Depay. The Thiago Silva-led defence will see Presnel Kimpembe get another start in the centre-back role. Gianluigi Buffon should be in goal, after Alphonse Areola got the start against both Nice and Red Star in the last two games.
The idea for the Parisians will be the same as always: use the incredible offensive firepower to get goals on the board, while trying to somewhat limit the opposition’s chances.
Bruno Genesio’s boys should come out in the same 4-4-1-1 they played against Manchester City, which is led by French international Nabil Fekir and Depay. Lucas Tousart and Tanguy Ndombele with the two 21-year-olds responsible for containing Neymar, Mbappe and Di Maria from their central defensive midfield roles, before Marcelo and Jason Denayer will look to shut down Cavani from getting any clear looks on goal.
Lyon were able to shut down the comparable City attack on their home turf a few weeks ago in Champions League, while using the speed of Maxwel Cornet on the right-wing to push forward and find two goals themselves.
FootyAcca Team News
Tuchel will be without the services of defenders Dani Alves and Layvin Kurzawa, as both are out with long-term injuries. Despite having played on Wednesday the squad should be fresh, with Neymar, Mbappe and Silva being subbed-out early in what resembled a training match more than the Champions League.
Lyon will be without forward Amine Gouiri as he continues to recover from an ACL rupture. Brazilian defender Fernando Marcal has resumed training but has been used sparingly since his return.
With Moussa Dembele having gotten the start on Tuesday, it is likely that Genesio will begin the match with Depay as the lone striker if they do choose a 4-4-1-1 formation.
Lyon have proven that they are able to perform against the elite teams in Europe, even when having to travel to their home turf. The match against City certainly has to inspire Lyon going into the match, especially considering that they were one of just three teams in France to beat PSG all of last season.
While PSG should remain unbeaten, the match should offer much more resistance than any of their domestic opposition this season. In their only true test this year, the Parisians fell to Liverpool in an intense battle. Three of the last four matches between these two have ended 2-1, so we expect another close match decided by less than two goals.
Our FootyAcca Ligue 1 betting tip is Lyon +1.5 on the Asian Handicap.
Published on: Oct 6, 2018 at 09:00
See how the match unfolds below with our Match Day Updates showing the starting 11 teams, goals, cards and subs.