Wolfsburg v Dortmund
1X2 Betting Tip
Borussia Dortmund aim to maintain their undefeated Bundesliga season when they travel to Wolfsburg on Saturday afternoon. Their hosts, winners of consecutive league matches for the first time this season, will hope to slow down the remarkable offence that has scored 27 goals in their last seven matches across all competitions.
Our Wolfsburg v Dortmund betting tip is Dortmund to Win. Read below to see why BVB should continue their torrid run against an overmatched Wolfsburg side.
Bruno Labbadia’s squad has been able to beat lower teams this season, but has not stepped up to the challenge of top tier squads. Their 3W 3D 3L record in the opening nine matches leaves them in 10th place in the Bundesliga table with 12 points, with a perfectly even goal differential.
They come into Saturday’s match at Volkswagen Arena on a two-match winning streak, however those victories came against Fortuna and Hannover, two of the bottom teams in the table.
Last Saturday’s match at Fortuna saw their offence finally kick into gear, while their defence was able to limit their opponents to just a single shot on goal.
They then made the trip to Hannover on Tuesday in a DFB Pokal matchup, where they scored two goals on just 3 shots.
While they have been able to take advantage of weaker opponents, they fell to Bayern Munich 3-1 at home two weeks ago, despite the Bavarians playing with ten men for most of the second-half.
Playing at home has not been much of an advantage for Die Wolfe, as they have just one win to go along with two draws and two losses in league play this season. Two of those draws did come against top-5 teams, as they played to a pair of 2-2 stalemates against Hertha Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach.
All five of their home fixtures have gone over 2.5 total goals, as their 2-1 victory against Schalke was the only time they held their opponents to less than two goals.
Barcelona seem to have finally got things going once again after suffering through a poor run of form last month. They have won four in a row in all competitions, including defeating strong opponents in Sevilla, Inter and Real Madrid over that span.
Dortmund enter the fixture in top form, as they have yet to taste defeat this season. Their offence has been virtually unstoppable since returning from the international break, as they defeated Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid 4-0 in back-to-back games.
Last week saw them get two goals from 18-year-old English winger Jadon Sancho before conceding an added-time equaliser to finish 2-2 with Hertha at home.
They hosted Union Berlin on Wednesday in their league cup, where they drew 2-2 in 90 minutes. Marco Reus converted a penalty in the 120th minute to send BVB through, salvaging what could have been a disastrous night again a second-division opponent.
After drawing their first two away matches of the season, Dortmund picked up consecutive road wins by scoring eight away goals in their last two matches. Despite those outbursts, just four of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals.
Wolfsburg failed to score a goal in either of last season’s affairs, with Dortmund winning 3-0 at Volkswagen Arena last August. The reverse was a scoreless draw in Dortmund, which made it six straight matches without a win for Wolfsburg in this matchup.
Labbadia will have to find a way to prevent Dortmund from continuing their offensive onslaught on Saturday. His 4-3-2-1 formation will certainly invite pressure from the visitors, while trying to break out on the counter for their own chances.
The forward trio of Josip Brekalo, Wout Weghorst and Renato Steffen have combined for seven goals, but will have to be as sharp as ever if they want to keep pace with BVB.
The brunt of the responsibilities will fall on the three defensively-placed midfielders, led by Maximilian Arnold in the middle. The three will have to contain their counterparts before they get too deep into their own territory, as Dortmund’s finishing has been clinical in recent weeks.
American centre-back John Brooks and former German youth international Robin Knoche will be especially vital to their success. If the pair can use their size to keep Paco Alcacer away from goal, then they may be able to keep it close.
Lucien Favre won’t want to tinker with a lineup that has produced such consistent results this season, but will be happy to have Alcacer back in the mix for this contest.
The Spanish striker will once again head the 4-2-3-1 formation after missing out with a thigh injury. Prior to his ailment, he had scored nine goals in just five games for both club and country.
He will be supported by Reus, Sancho and Jacob Bruun Larsen in the attacking-midfield, with the young American proving his worth over the past month. With five goals and seven assists this season, Sancho has been creating non-stop opportunity for his team going forward.
Behind the trio will be the dominant pair of Axel Witsel and Mahmoud Dahoud. The duo have been rock-solid in keeping possession and waiting for open passing lanes to get the attackers in prime position to score.
Raphael Guerreiro and Achraf Hakimi play on the defensive wings, but are not shy to join the attack when needed. The former scored twice in the win against Atletico and is always dangerous along the left flank.
Wolfsburg have a host of injuries to contend with, as they are missing six regulars from the lineup on Saturday. Jeffrey Bruma, Admir Mehmedi, Josuha Guilavogui, Felix Klaus, Ignacio Camacho and Ismail Azzaoui will all be absent with a variety of injuries, limiting Labbadia’s choices.
Right-back Sebastian Jung could make his return after missing eight matches. The addition of the former German international would certainly be a boost to a depleted back line, especially against the league’s top offence.
Dortmund also have several absentees through injury, with Shinji Kagawa, Lukasz Piszczek, Thomas Delaney and Marcel Schmelzer all unlikely to play in the contest. Manuel Akanji has also picked up a hip problem and could miss the match.
It is unseen whether Alcacer will jump directly into starting duties or reprise his role of “super substitute”. If he does not start, then it should be Maximilian Philipp who gets the nod upfront.
The visitors are simply rolling right now and it will have to take a special team to stop them. Wolfsburg have been able to hold both Herta and M’Gladbach to draws at home, but conceded two goals to each.
Dortmund can not only score away from Westfalenstadion, but they can also defend. With the hosts suffering from injuries and the return of Alcacer, we expect a 3-1 away win for BVB as they extend their lead atop the Bundesliga.
Published on: 3 Nov 2018 at 07:11
See how the match unfolds below with our Match Day Updates showing the starting 11 teams, goals, cards and subs.